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Published: 25 February 2026,07:37
Daily Market Analysis New
*Total crypto market cap fell ~5% below $2.3tn, with Bitcoin slipping under $64,000 and Ethereum nearing $1,800, as President Trump’s renewed tariff push undermined broader risk sentiment.
*Thin liquidity and elevated leverage triggered cascading liquidations, pushing market sentiment into extreme fear territory.
*Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin sold roughly $18m worth of ETH this month, reinforcing downside risks and keeping Bitcoin vulnerable to a test of the $60,000 support zone.
Market Summary:
The euro faces a pivotal trading session today with the release of Eurozone Consumer Price Index data, a print that could significantly influence near-term currency direction and market expectations for European Central Bank policy. The report arrives as the single currency contends with growing speculation that the ECB may be forced to ease policy later this year, even as major peers like the Reserve Bank of Australia maintain hawkish stances.
The market is bracing for a soft inflation print, with consensus forecasts projecting a monthly decline of 0.5 percent, a sharp reversal from the previous 0.2 percent increase. Such an outcome would reinforce concerns that the euro area is entering a disinflationary phase, potentially strengthening the case for ECB rate cuts toward year-end. Analysts at Continuum Economics note that while the ECB remains comfortable with current policy rates, dovish members are increasingly concerned that slowing wage inflation could mean an inflation undershoot, building the case for two 25 basis point cuts in mid-2026.
The euro area enters this data release on relatively stable footing. The labor market has shown improvement, with the unemployment rate holding near historic lows, while GDP has stabilized above 1 percent—a neutral level that neither demands stimulus nor restraint . However, this stability masks growing concerns about the economic bloc’s resilience. The ECB’s December minutes revealed a clear division between doves and hawks, with doves worried about the economic recovery and potential inflation undershoot.
A soft CPI reading would widen the perceived monetary policy gap between the ECB and other major central banks. The RBA’s hawkish pivot earlier this month, delivering a 25 basis point rate hike, has already strengthened the Australian dollar. The Bank of England remains divided but retains a tightening bias, while the Bank of Japan continues gradual normalization despite political pressure. Wider policy divergence would likely exert sustained downward pressure on the euro against these currencies.
Technical Analysis
The EURGBP pair had been trading within a higher-low price structure, forming an ascending triangle pattern that suggested building bullish momentum. However, resistance at the 0.8750 mark proved formidable, repeatedly capping upside attempts and preventing a sustained breakout. The latest price action has seen the pair break decisively below the triangle’s ascending support line, invalidating the bullish formation and indicating a bearish trend reversal.
The breakdown from this pattern carries significant technical weight, as ascending triangles typically resolve in the direction of the prevailing trend. With the pair now trading below the pattern’s lower boundary, the structure suggests sellers have gained control and a new downtrend phase may be underway.
Momentum indicators support this bearish interpretation. The Relative Strength Index is trending toward oversold territory, reflecting sustained selling pressure and diminishing buyer interest. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator is poised to cross below its zero line, a development that would provide clear technical confirmation that bearish momentum is building. This alignment between price action and momentum oscillators strengthens the case for continued downside in the near term.
Resistance Levels: 0.8750, 0.8827
Support Levels: 0.8663, 0.8600
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